Strategy

All right, so let’s have a look at the current situation.

First of all, if we could have “won” the war in Gaza, we would already have won it. You can’t fight a guerrilla war with a conventional army.

Not until drone tech has reached a stage where face recognition and so on will make it target the right soldiers of the guerilla army.

When drones are really starting to swarm and can combine this with facial recognition. The battlefield will be to a high tech players advantage.

Essentially the war machine of Israel is established, as a paradigm, in the First World War, where Churchill invented the tank.

What is the basic concept of a tank? It’s to make a boat on land.

The idea is, to use the forces of a war boat and apply it on a field machine.

Now that is all well and fine, if we sail on smooth waters. The tank is a winning war machine in large open spaces.

Now what is the obvious countermove to this type of war? Change the terrain.

Change the terrain to a field of mud, swamp and low waters. Effective rendering the tank void.

So the western army will not function because the strategist have not been thinking clearly enough.

Using tanks, even the amazing Merkava tank is to apply an outdated war concept in the wrong terrain.

That is why Hamas can keep surviving.

Using more or less tanks will not change the situation.

As Halevi said, they have us outfoxed. But I mean the concept Hamas is from the Vietnam war. It’s not new, and the paradigms of western warfare has just kept at the system that Churchill built.

So please listen to what I am saying, instead of using old fashioned concepts.

There is a few years before the new war concepts are mature enough to tackle the terrain. But I mean I started talking about this ten years ago, and we are still using the same old tired concepts.

Drones are the way forward. Ten years ago I talked about a tunnel drone. Why did we not support a development of this?

We could have, if we had stayed on course we could have had tunnel drones that would have been safe to remotely operate, crawling all over the tunnels now.

It’s my fault also, I got busy doing other things. But my point is, we are unprepared for a new invasion. We do not have the right tools and we will just squander more of our dwindling political capital in the eyes of the world. Not to mention lives.

I have been right EVERY SINGLE TIME, that I have analyzed the battlefield. If you had followed my advise in the beginning. We would have won.

Now we are in a situation where we do not have the support of the international community to repatriate. We did have that in the beginning of the war. It’s really frustrating for me.

So there are essentially three options. 1. My repatriation plan. That we cannot do now without loosing the Arabs. We CANNOT afford loosing the Arabs. If the Sunni Muslims went gong ho and all attacked us at the same time. We would be finished. The deal with Egypt is hanging in a VERY thing thread. The thread being me.

I support the Egyptians and have a sound relationship to his honor Mr. Sisi.

Second option is two state, that is not working right now. Third option is Hamas keeping the power.

Luckily for us, the Arabs are not trying to be enemies of us. They want peace, so that the Middle East can thrive. So they are essentially trying to convince Hamas to shed the jihad mindset and pursue a peaceful stance.

Most sunni Muslims want peace. They voted for Trump for the same reason.

So the most REASONABLE strategy is to make peace, really mean it and then get our gear in better shape.

Evolve the weapons to a state where they will really work. To function as a deterrent.

It’s a hard choice, but a choice we have made ourselves in, because we made some choices that were less wise in the beginning.

I am not trying to make anything but the survival of Israel my number one priority.

We are not rebels anymore. We are responsible owners of a VERY important piece of land. And we have to be responsible.

Me too.

G-d bless the will to find peace. May Israel survive.

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