All right, so this is it. The final battle. It has some of the finality and defintion as the last battle of the Phonicians and the Roman in the Punic wars. The part that wins, will win it all.

This is really what rides on the outcome of this war.

These are my reflections, to support the US.

We essentially have two choices of stark implications.

Either we put boots on the ground, special forces and so on, or we make a deal.

Let’s see if we can see the outcome, or the most probable outcome of each path.

First the boots on the ground scenario. Here, the American special forces will enter key areas, and hold them. Oil sites mainly.

It would provoke a response from the IRGC. Finally an enemy they can fight. So they will come rushing, apply foreign fighter and so on. It will be a brawl.

The war will continue for two or three years, and drag down the Trump administration.

This is NOT to discourage the Trump administration, I support you guys 110%. We are in this together. It’s just to see the dangers ahead.

The other path, the path of negotiations is really open right now. The question is; will it work?

Yes, the debate is; what will we demand?

This is what I have debated lately; the demands.

The most important is the freedom of the Iranians. This is done by making free elections, and the abolishment of IRGC supervision of the secret service.

We can make an open window for a conservative overseeing of the state by making a Supreme Court ruled by the current administration. In effect reducing the power of the clerical institutions to a more balanced perspective.

Still the IRGC must be handled. Will they disarm?

So essentially it’s the same situation as in Gaza, basically. We need to make sure, that we don’t have a power grab after the deal is done.

No more nuclear ambitions and shared control of the oil income. This will leave the Iranians with a lot of dollars to rebuild and make a good and democratic state.

Which way to go?

It’s up to Mr. Trump.

Al least this is what I can deduce from the conflict.

G-d bless the will of Hashem, and may we have peace.