Lebanon

September 24th, 2024

So, the current development of the Lebanese war is a reminder of what has happened in Gaza; the fighting capabilities of Hezbollah is grinded to a small fraction of what it has been.

If the war continues in the way it is done now, and probably it will, because the fighting force of Hezbollah is in disarray because of the initial attack with the pagers. Then, all in all, there will be little left after half a year of war of attrition.

There are essentially three questions. 1. Does it make any sense to continue the war. This falls back on the prospects of WINNING the war. Who will win? Since Israel is gaining ground politically, and none of the superpowers are any interested in a larger war, most possible, Israel will win. 2. What are the stakes. The stakes are the hostages. As soon as a deal is done, the war will be over. There will be some discussion back and forth. Yet the solution will be a state of a kind in Gaza, the demilitarization of Hamas and an international peace force. There is still the discussion of the Philadelphia corridor, which is not making much sense, since Hamas can just dig some new tunnels somewhere else. So I can’t really see the point. We have to make a deal, that hinders Hamas in stockpiling arms, and holding the Philadelphia corridor will not do this. There has to be an other way. 3. What is the vision AFTER the war. Here it is pretty obvious, that most of the countries in the Middle East wants to go on. Israel has won a place in the Middle East. Jews are a part of the Middle Eastern fabric, and has always been a part of the Middle Eastern fabric. What we see these days, is a realignment of Jews, to be a part of the development of the Middle East. To be the light upon the nations; boost the growth and the honor of the Middle East. China is making a lot of progress, India, Africa. The same is possible for the Middle East. The resources are there, what is required however is PEACE to realize this progress.

G-d bless the will to make peace in and around Israel.

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