Developments in the war

September 11th, 2024

Ok, let’s see what we can deduce from the last few days of development in the Israeli/Gaza war.

First of all, the mere shift in focus from only focusing on the peace negotiations has brought some kind of halting in the war.

We are now discussing the stance of Israel in relation to Iran and its proxies. This is essentially a much more serious discussion, because it is really where the decisions are made.

Hamas does not make decisions alone. Hamas calibrates its decisions with its allies.

So taking the more overall view on the discussion makes real progress possible.

Iran is heard in its issues, and Hezbollah is waiting on the outcome of the negotiations.

This is not to forget the hostages and the war in Gaza, it is to take a more inclusive view on the discussion.

We are now playing chess, before we were concentrating on the two pieces on the chessboard that were interlocked and couldn’t move.

So now taking more players in consideration, we can play again.

It has also had the effect that Russia is starting to make demands. More or less the same demands as the rest of the players; a two state solution and ending of the hostilities towards Gaza.

That is good, we need to hear everyone, and when they agree, more or less, then that is absolutely positive.

How Israel is going to handle that is something we need to see.

It is a difficult issue, because Gaza is in disarray. Hamas is still a force, but the poor Gazans are not exactly living in a welthfarestate.

It does come down to the rearmament issue. Will Hamas be able to rearm and make more attacks. This is not ok with Israel. So the state solution needs to have some kind of realistic control of the armaments of Gaza.

This again is the discussion on the Philadelphi corridor, because control of this corridor is a part of a way to control rearmament.

So there is a new situation, and things are moving.

Hopefully it will be realized in some sort of deal in the near future.

G-d bless the will to make amends and scale down the war and think about those suffering and being in harms way.

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